Qualification · Qualification 14
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
86.19 – 119.68
40%60%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
133 – 262
Prediction correct · off by 94.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 315.9 ±12.7
Season APEX 73.8Event APEX 28.5Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 75.2Event APEX 55.88Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 166.9Event APEX 1.81Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 460.8 ±12.4
Season APEX 42Event APEX 29.15Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 76.89Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 13.64Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 11437, 7501, 11387
57
/ 100 compatProjected
86.2 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 11437, 7501, 11387
Auto
20.3 27%
Teleop
37.4 49%
Endgame
18.1 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9618, 5460, 6591
60
/ 100 compatProjected
119.7 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 9618, 5460, 6591
Auto
11.8 10%
Teleop
71.6 62%
Endgame
31.8 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.51 · Blue 1.81
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score86.2pts
Blue projected score119.7pts
Red win probability40%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 67%, blue 56%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -33.5
- Score range
- 62–144
- Upset likelihood
- 40%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
315.9Season APEX460.8
20.3Auto11.8
37.4Teleop71.6
18.1Endgame31.8
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 29 | 18 |
| teleop | 78 | 145 |
| endgame | 21 | 99 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 133 | 262 |
Result
Final score
133 – 262
Prediction correct · off by 94.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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