FIM District Chelsea Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

37.87 – 90.91

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

117 – 130

Prediction correct · off by 59.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 339 ±11.1

6081Digital Dislocators

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 11.15Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1076PiHi Samurai

Season APEX 201Event APEX 3Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8374Bongo Bots

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 23.72Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 390.2 ±11.2

302The Dragons

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 28.93Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4216Blue Ops Robotics

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 21.69Rank 11Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 97

3668TroBots

Season APEX 144.5Event APEX 40.29Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6081, 1076, 8374

/ 100 compat

Projected

37.9 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6081, 1076, 8374

Auto

6.9 16%

Teleop

31.5 75%

Endgame

3.5 8%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 302, 4216, 3668

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.9 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 302, 4216, 3668

Auto

18.4 21%

Teleop

46.0 53%

Endgame

22.7 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.24 · Blue 1.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score37.9pts

Blue projected score90.9pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -53
Score range: 13–116
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 247 vs event baseline 136.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

339Season APEX390.2

6.9Auto18.4

31.5Teleop46

3.5Endgame22.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	8
teleop	74	69
endgame	22	48
foul	0	5
total	117	130

Result

Final score

117 – 130

Prediction correct · off by 59.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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