FIM District Chelsea Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 10

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

82.02 – 99.88

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

41 – 229

Prediction correct · off by 85.1 points

Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 261.5 ±13.3

11387G.L.E.A.M. - Grass Lake Engineering and Mechanics

Season APEX 166.9Event APEX 16.84Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9204Aluminum Armada

Season APEX 57.5Event APEX 22.04Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5260Owosso Robotics

Season APEX 37.1Event APEX 43.14Rank 37Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 542.8 ±9.3

3641The Flying Toasters

Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 50.04Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10607DAAS Jaguars

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 4.41Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3656Dexter Dreadbots

Season APEX 241.4Event APEX 45.43Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11387, 9204, 5260

/ 100 compat

Projected

82 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 11387, 9204, 5260

Auto

20.5 25%

Teleop

45.8 56%

Endgame

16.0 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3641, 10607, 3656

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.9 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3641, 10607, 3656

Auto

14.9 15%

Teleop

65.6 65%

Endgame

20.3 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.44 · Blue 1.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score82pts

Blue projected score99.9pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -17.9
Score range: 60–122
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 270 vs event baseline 122.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

261.5Season APEX542.8

20.5Auto14.9

45.8Teleop65.6

16Endgame20.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	16
teleop	14	162
endgame	15	51
foul	0	0
total	41	229

Result

Final score

41 – 229

Prediction correct · off by 85.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.