FIM District Chelsea Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

131.48 – 54.18

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

92 – 30

Prediction correct · off by 31.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 293.9 ±12.2

6570Whiteford Bobcats

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 49.03Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5046Jacked Up Jackets

Season APEX 150.7Event APEX 64.26Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6591Panther Powered Robotics 6591

Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 18.19Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 123.1 ±12.2

10285Sacred Heart Outlanders

Season APEX 34.2Event APEX 15.64Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5530Greenhills Lawnmowers

Season APEX 50.2Event APEX 30.13Rank 36Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

10607DAAS Jaguars

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 8.41Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6570, 5046, 6591

/ 100 compat

Projected

131.5 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6570, 5046, 6591

Auto

22.8 18%

Teleop

64.9 50%

Endgame

41.1 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10285, 5530, 10607

/ 100 compat

Projected

54.2 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 10285, 5530, 10607

Auto

21.3 40%

Teleop

25.8 48%

Endgame

6.6 12%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.03 · Blue 1.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score131.5pts

Blue projected score54.2pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 77.3
Score range: 25–160
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 122 vs event baseline 160.5.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

293.9Season APEX123.1

22.8Auto21.3

64.9Teleop25.8

41.1Endgame6.6

67Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	9
teleop	45	12
endgame	39	9
foul	0	0
total	92	30

Result

Final score

92 – 30

Prediction correct · off by 31.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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