FIM District Chelsea Event presented by DTE

Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

401.06 – 215.41

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

454 – 150

Prediction correct · off by 59.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 832.2 ±8.8

5567Code Red Robotics

Season APEX 80Event APEX 35.71Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 182.32Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 183.03Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 578.4 ±9.3

7056The F.A.S.T. Team - Fowlerville Area Scientific Technicians

Season APEX 161.5Event APEX 46.52Rank 31Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 100

3656Dexter Dreadbots

Season APEX 241.4Event APEX 106.76Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

302The Dragons

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 62.13Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5567, 27, 5460

/ 100 compat

Projected

401.1 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5567, 27, 5460

Auto

94.4 24%

Teleop

221.1 56%

Endgame

81.4 21%

Strengths

· 5460 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7056, 3656, 302

/ 100 compat

Projected

215.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7056, 3656, 302

Auto

32.3 15%

Teleop

122.8 58%

Endgame

55.9 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.49 · Blue 0.76

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score401.1pts

Blue projected score215.4pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 185.7
Score range: 186–430
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 604 vs event baseline 158.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

832.2Season APEX578.4

94.4Auto32.3

221.1Teleop122.8

81.4Endgame55.9

0Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	116	35
teleop	266	66
endgame	47	44
foul	25	5
total	454	150

Result

Final score

454 – 150

Prediction correct · off by 59.2 pts

Match videos

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