Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

184.24 – 187.37

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

184 – 262

Prediction correct · off by 37.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 447.9 ±11.1

7174Charger Robotics

Season APEX 158.6Event APEX 49.52Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5050Cow Town Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 33.43Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9572CC Shambytes

Season APEX 232Event APEX 101.29Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 453.8 ±10.5

6528Terror Bytes

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 70.3Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

247Da Bears

Season APEX 131Event APEX 76.68Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2832The Livonia Warriors

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 40.39Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7174, 5050, 9572

/ 100 compat

Projected

184.2 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7174, 5050, 9572

Auto

39.0 21%

Teleop

104.8 58%

Endgame

38.1 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6528, 247, 2832

/ 100 compat

Projected

187.4 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6528, 247, 2832

Auto

30.5 16%

Teleop

109.2 58%

Endgame

47.4 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.56 · Blue 1.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score184.2pts

Blue projected score187.4pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -3.1
Score range: 158–213
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 446 vs event baseline 142.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

447.9Season APEX453.8

39Auto30.5

104.8Teleop109.2

38.1Endgame47.4

48Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	54	40
teleop	102	102
endgame	28	65
foul	0	55
total	184	262

Result

Final score

184 – 262

Prediction correct · off by 37.4 pts

Match videos

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