Playoff · Playoff Match 5 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
85.28 – 182.99
23%77%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
104 – 299
Prediction correct · off by 67.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 298.3 ±13.6
Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 27.8Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 72.3Event APEX 21.36Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79
Season APEX 167.7Event APEX 36.12Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 584 ±9.9
Season APEX 277.7Event APEX 69.68Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 222.2Event APEX 93.08Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 84.1Event APEX 20.23Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2620, 4390, 2834
46
/ 100 compatProjected
85.3 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 2620, 4390, 2834
Auto
25.9 32%
Teleop
39.4 48%
Endgame
16.6 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6152, 910, 9226
78
/ 100 compatProjected
183 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 6152, 910, 9226
Auto
40.6 23%
Teleop
100.8 57%
Endgame
36.0 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.99 · Blue 2.07
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score85.3pts
Blue projected score183pts
Red win probability23%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 49%, blue 48%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -97.7
- Score range
- 60–208
- Upset likelihood
- 23%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
298.3Season APEX584
25.9Auto40.6
39.4Teleop100.8
16.6Endgame36
12Consistency82
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 25 | 56 |
| teleop | 46 | 175 |
| endgame | 28 | 68 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 104 | 299 |
Result
Final score
104 – 299
Prediction correct · off by 67.4 pts
Match videos
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