Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
185 – 149.11
61%39%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
177 – 201
Prediction missed · off by 29.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 584 ±9.9
Season APEX 277.7Event APEX 70.57Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 222.2Event APEX 93.36Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 84.1Event APEX 21.07Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 409.8 ±10.5
Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 9.74Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 254.1Event APEX 65.62Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 104.4Event APEX 73.75Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6152, 910, 9226
80
/ 100 compatProjected
185 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 6152, 910, 9226
Auto
39.8 22%
Teleop
102.8 56%
Endgame
41.5 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 240, 1189, 217
71
/ 100 compatProjected
149.1 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 240, 1189, 217
Auto
34.4 24%
Teleop
76.4 52%
Endgame
35.1 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.74 · Blue 1.34
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score185pts
Blue projected score149.1pts
Red win probability61%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 48%, blue 52%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 35.9
- Score range
- 124–210
- Upset likelihood
- 39%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
584Season APEX409.8
39.8Auto34.4
102.8Teleop76.4
41.5Endgame35.1
84Consistency78
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 43 | 25 |
| teleop | 93 | 119 |
| endgame | 16 | 52 |
| foul | 25 | 5 |
| total | 177 | 201 |
Result
Final score
177 – 201
Prediction missed · off by 29.9 pts
Match videos
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