Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

150.36 – 201.43

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

232 – 314

Prediction correct · off by 97.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 441.3 ±11.1

7174Charger Robotics

Season APEX 158.6Event APEX 49.73Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5090TorqueNados

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX -0.5Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9572CC Shambytes

Season APEX 232Event APEX 101.13Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 584 ±9.9

6152Robo-Falcons

Season APEX 277.7Event APEX 76.02Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

910The Foley Freeze

Season APEX 222.2Event APEX 99.29Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9226GRemlins

Season APEX 84.1Event APEX 26.12Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7174, 5090, 9572

/ 100 compat

Projected

150.4 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7174, 5090, 9572

Auto

41.1 28%

Teleop

83.8 56%

Endgame

24.0 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6152, 910, 9226

/ 100 compat

Projected

201.4 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6152, 910, 9226

Auto

43.0 22%

Teleop

113.7 58%

Endgame

40.9 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.28 · Blue 1.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score150.4pts

Blue projected score201.4pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -51.1
Score range: 124–227
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 546 vs event baseline 143.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

441.3Season APEX584

41.1Auto43

83.8Teleop113.7

24Endgame40.9

59Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	73
teleop	115	187
endgame	72	49
foul	5	5
total	232	314

Result

Final score

232 – 314

Prediction correct · off by 97.1 pts

Match videos

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