Qualification · Qualification 76

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

94.48 – 168.32

29%71%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

81 – 195

Prediction correct · off by 20.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 287.7 ±14.1

2834Bionic Black Hawks

Season APEX 167.7Event APEX 36.01Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4390ATA Coregears

Season APEX 72.3Event APEX 22.99Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79

6029Railbots

Season APEX 47.7Event APEX 35.48Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 662.9 ±9.9

6152Robo-Falcons

Season APEX 277.7Event APEX 67.57Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5907CC Shambots

A+

Season APEX 326.9Event APEX 74.78Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2620Titans

Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 25.97Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2834, 4390, 6029

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2834, 4390, 6029

Auto

29.1 31%

Teleop

43.8 47%

Endgame

20.4 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6152, 5907, 2620

/ 100 compat

Projected

168.3 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6152, 5907, 2620

Auto

42.1 25%

Teleop

100.1 60%

Endgame

25.1 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.12 · Blue 2.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score94.5pts

Blue projected score168.3pts

Red win probability29%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -73.8
Score range: 69–193
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 276 vs event baseline 136.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

287.7Season APEX662.9

29.1Auto42.1

43.8Teleop100.1

20.4Endgame25.1

35Consistency7

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	53
teleop	34	106
endgame	33	36
foul	0	0
total	81	195

Result

Final score

81 – 195

Prediction correct · off by 20.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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