Qualification · Qualification 75

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

131.61 – 189.13

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

144 – 272

Prediction correct · off by 47.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 257.4 ±12.7

2832The Livonia Warriors

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 32.67Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6861The Tyros Team

Season APEX 126.8Event APEX 54.52Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8124RHS BearBots

Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 44.42Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 379.3 ±11.1

5498The Wired Devils

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 20.52Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

469Las Guerrillas

Season APEX 250Event APEX 119.64Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6570Whiteford Bobcats

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 48.97Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2832, 6861, 8124

/ 100 compat

Projected

131.6 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 2832, 6861, 8124

Auto

24.8 19%

Teleop

64.7 49%

Endgame

41.6 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5498, 469, 6570

/ 100 compat

Projected

189.1 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5498, 469, 6570

Auto

53.8 29%

Teleop

96.4 52%

Endgame

34.3 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.2 · Blue 1.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score131.6pts

Blue projected score189.1pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -57.5
Score range: 108–213
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 416 vs event baseline 135.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

257.4Season APEX379.3

24.8Auto53.8

64.7Teleop96.4

41.6Endgame34.3

19Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	68
teleop	91	136
endgame	23	68
foul	0	0
total	144	272

Result

Final score

144 – 272

Prediction correct · off by 47.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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