Qualification · Qualification 73

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

114.15 – 45.5

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

163 – 30

Prediction correct · off by 32.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 490 ±11.1

7174Charger Robotics

Season APEX 158.6Event APEX 37.24Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6528Terror Bytes

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 62.36Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9226GRemlins

Season APEX 84.1Event APEX 14.55Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 169.8 ±13.9

9148Atlas Robotics

Season APEX 51.7Event APEX 12.08Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10606The Foley Flare

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 19.75Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5901BattleCats

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 13.67Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7174, 6528, 9226

/ 100 compat

Projected

114.2 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7174, 6528, 9226

Auto

25.9 24%

Teleop

50.7 47%

Endgame

32.0 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9148, 10606, 5901

/ 100 compat

Projected

45.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9148, 10606, 5901

Auto

15.0 30%

Teleop

27.3 55%

Endgame

7.2 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.92 · Blue 1.12

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score114.2pts

Blue projected score45.5pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 68.7
Score range: 22–138
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 193 vs event baseline 134.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

490Season APEX169.8

25.9Auto15

50.7Teleop27.3

32Endgame7.2

109Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	13
teleop	93	10
endgame	36	7
foul	5	0
total	163	30

Result

Final score

163 – 30

Prediction correct · off by 32.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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