Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

87.92 – 37.47

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

137 – 61

Prediction correct · off by 36.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 283.3 ±11.6

2834Bionic Black Hawks

Season APEX 167.7Event APEX 33.8Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5050Cow Town Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 29Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2620Titans

Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 25.12Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 142.6 ±13.9

6057Thunderbots

Season APEX 39.2Event APEX 7.79Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6029Railbots

Season APEX 47.7Event APEX 34.91Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8362Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 55.7Event APEX -5.23Rank 39Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2834, 5050, 2620

/ 100 compat

Projected

87.9 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2834, 5050, 2620

Auto

21.2 25%

Teleop

46.3 56%

Endgame

15.7 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6057, 6029, 8362

/ 100 compat

Projected

37.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6057, 6029, 8362

Auto

6.8 20%

Teleop

2.6 8%

Endgame

24.7 72%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.74 · Blue 1.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score87.9pts

Blue projected score37.5pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 50.5
Score range: 13–112
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 198 vs event baseline 135.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

283.3Season APEX142.6

21.2Auto6.8

46.3Teleop2.6

15.7Endgame24.7

0Consistency131

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	23
teleop	71	16
endgame	38	7
foul	0	15
total	137	61

Result

Final score

137 – 61

Prediction correct · off by 36.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.