Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
78.64 – 68.64
53%47%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
21 – 76
Prediction missed · off by 32.5 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 264.3 ±12.8
Season APEX 167.7Event APEX -Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 61.3Event APEX -Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 35.14Rank 34Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 367.6 ±11.7
Season APEX 277.7Event APEX -Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 50.7Event APEX -Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 39.2Event APEX 25.14Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2834, 10606, 1528
53
/ 100 compatProjected
78.6 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 2834, 10606, 1528
Auto
23.3 31%
Teleop
36.3 49%
Endgame
14.7 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6152, 5090, 6057
50
/ 100 compatProjected
68.6 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 6152, 5090, 6057
Auto
14.8 22%
Teleop
32.3 47%
Endgame
21.6 31%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.53 · Blue 1.34
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score78.6pts
Blue projected score68.6pts
Red win probability53%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 42%, blue 36%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 10
- Score range
- 46–102
- Upset likelihood
- 47%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
264.3Season APEX367.6
10.3Auto1.7
14.6Teleop10.6
6Endgame12.9
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 10 | 11 |
| teleop | 11 | 55 |
| endgame | 0 | 10 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 21 | 76 |
Result
Final score
21 – 76
Prediction missed · off by 32.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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