Qualification · Qualification 69
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
150.56 – 107.89
63%37%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
126 – 101
Prediction correct · off by 15.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 392.9 ±13.2
Season APEX 88.6Event APEX 32.68Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 72.3Event APEX 24.68Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79
Season APEX 232Event APEX 93.2Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 200.8 ±12.2
Season APEX 104.4Event APEX 71.2Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 9.36Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 27.33Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6914, 4390, 9572
66
/ 100 compatProjected
150.6 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 6914, 4390, 9572
Auto
33.8 23%
Teleop
91.6 61%
Endgame
23.6 16%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 217, 9182, 5263
53
/ 100 compatProjected
107.9 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 217, 9182, 5263
Auto
22.1 22%
Teleop
44.4 45%
Endgame
32.9 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.91 · Blue 1.29
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score150.6pts
Blue projected score107.9pts
Red win probability63%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 61%, blue 50%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 42.7
- Score range
- 83–176
- Upset likelihood
- 37%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
392.9Season APEX200.8
33.8Auto22.1
91.6Teleop44.4
23.6Endgame32.9
55Consistency6
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 44 | 17 |
| teleop | 68 | 53 |
| endgame | 14 | 21 |
| foul | 0 | 10 |
| total | 126 | 101 |
Result
Final score
126 – 101
Prediction correct · off by 15.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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