Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

130.57 – 73.16

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

138 – 49

Prediction correct · off by 15.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 363.7 ±12.4

6528Terror Bytes

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 62.26Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10606The Foley Flare

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 18.89Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8124RHS BearBots

Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 49.42Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 251.2 ±12.7

5050Cow Town Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 31.15Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1528MTR (Monroe Trojan Robotics)

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 3.34Rank 34Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7174Charger Robotics

Season APEX 158.6Event APEX 38.67Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6528, 10606, 8124

/ 100 compat

Projected

130.6 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6528, 10606, 8124

Auto

27.6 21%

Teleop

63.0 49%

Endgame

38.8 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5050, 1528, 7174

/ 100 compat

Projected

73.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5050, 1528, 7174

Auto

11.2 17%

Teleop

32.2 48%

Endgame

23.1 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.89 · Blue 1.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score130.6pts

Blue projected score73.2pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 57.4
Score range: 49–155
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 187 vs event baseline 134.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

363.7Season APEX251.2

27.6Auto11.2

63Teleop32.2

38.8Endgame23.1

31Consistency15

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	9
teleop	84	35
endgame	26	5
foul	0	0
total	138	49

Result

Final score

138 – 49

Prediction correct · off by 15.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.