Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

21.08 – 215.21

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

29 – 298

Prediction correct · off by 45.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 156.2 ±13.3

8362Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 55.7Event APEX -5.24Rank 39Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5498The Wired Devils

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 13.12Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9148Atlas Robotics

Season APEX 51.7Event APEX 13.2Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 666.7 ±9.3

3322Eagle Evolution

Season APEX 134.9Event APEX 98.88Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6152Robo-Falcons

Season APEX 277.7Event APEX 53.44Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1189Gearheads

Season APEX 254.1Event APEX 62.89Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8362, 5498, 9148

/ 100 compat

Projected

21.1 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8362, 5498, 9148

Auto

10.9 58%

Teleop

3.3 17%

Endgame

4.7 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3322, 6152, 1189

/ 100 compat

Projected

215.2 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3322, 6152, 1189

Auto

32.5 15%

Teleop

139.8 66%

Endgame

39.6 19%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.58 · Blue 2.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score21.1pts

Blue projected score215.2pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -194.1
Score range: -3–239
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 327 vs event baseline 134.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

156.2Season APEX666.7

10.9Auto32.5

3.3Teleop139.8

4.7Endgame39.6

63Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	35
teleop	11	196
endgame	5	67
foul	0	0
total	29	298

Result

Final score

29 – 298

Prediction correct · off by 45.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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