Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

151.19 – 310.38

12%88%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

113 – 366

Prediction correct · off by 46.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 348.3 ±12.2

7174Charger Robotics

Season APEX 158.6Event APEX 54.13Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6101Strange Quarks

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 2.29Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3322Eagle Evolution

Season APEX 134.9Event APEX 94.77Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 535.1 ±10.5

8179Robo Falcons

Season APEX 92.4Event APEX 32.16Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7769The CREW

Season APEX 385.4Event APEX 246.67Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5050Cow Town Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 31.55Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7174, 6101, 3322

/ 100 compat

Projected

151.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7174, 6101, 3322

Auto

23.6 17%

Teleop

81.8 58%

Endgame

35.1 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 8179, 7769, 5050

/ 100 compat

Projected

310.4 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 8179, 7769, 5050

Auto

67.8 22%

Teleop

183.3 59%

Endgame

57.6 19%

Strengths

· 7769 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.77 · Blue 2.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score151.2pts

Blue projected score310.4pts

Red win probability12%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -159.2
Score range: 124–337
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 479 vs event baseline 151.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

348.3Season APEX535.1

23.6Auto67.8

81.8Teleop183.3

35.1Endgame57.6

19Consistency15

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	84
teleop	35	220
endgame	37	57
foul	20	5
total	113	366

Result

Final score

113 – 366

Prediction correct · off by 46.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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