Qualification · Qualification 52
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
161.96 – 120.92
62%38%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
170 – 122
Prediction correct · off by 4.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 365.3 ±12.4
Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 18.65Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 250Event APEX 130.5Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 54Event APEX 12.81Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 323.4 ±11
Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 7.98Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 167.7Event APEX 33.19Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 104.4Event APEX 79.75Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10606, 469, 8427
72
/ 100 compatProjected
162 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 10606, 469, 8427
Auto
41.1 26%
Teleop
82.7 52%
Endgame
34.7 22%
Strengths
- · 469 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 240, 2834, 217
59
/ 100 compatProjected
120.9 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 240, 2834, 217
Auto
31.6 26%
Teleop
53.1 44%
Endgame
35.1 29%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.82 · Blue 1.23
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score162pts
Blue projected score120.9pts
Red win probability62%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 49%, blue 44%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 41
- Score range
- 97–186
- Upset likelihood
- 38%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
365.3Season APEX323.4
41.1Auto31.6
82.7Teleop53.1
34.7Endgame35.1
30Consistency45
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 55 | 38 |
| teleop | 81 | 50 |
| endgame | 29 | 29 |
| foul | 5 | 5 |
| total | 170 | 122 |
Result
Final score
170 – 122
Prediction correct · off by 4.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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