Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

328.81 – 117.75

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

293 – 147

Prediction correct · off by 32.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 516.6 ±11.1

6570Whiteford Bobcats

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 51.86Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5090TorqueNados

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 10.93Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7769The CREW

Season APEX 385.4Event APEX 266.02Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 239.3 ±12.8

5263Robo-Bucs

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 18.58Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3322Eagle Evolution

Season APEX 134.9Event APEX 83.8Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5901BattleCats

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 15.37Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6570, 5090, 7769

/ 100 compat

Projected

328.8 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6570, 5090, 7769

Auto

78.6 24%

Teleop

189.8 58%

Endgame

57.9 18%

Strengths

· 7769 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5263, 3322, 5901

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.8 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5263, 3322, 5901

Auto

22.9 20%

Teleop

72.5 62%

Endgame

20.8 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.41 · Blue 0.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score328.8pts

Blue projected score117.8pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 211.1
Score range: 94–353
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 440 vs event baseline 131.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

516.6Season APEX239.3

78.6Auto22.9

189.8Teleop72.5

57.9Endgame20.8

60Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	89	26
teleop	197	77
endgame	7	44
foul	0	0
total	293	147

Result

Final score

293 – 147

Prediction correct · off by 32.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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