Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

27.51 – 83.42

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

78 – 125

Prediction correct · off by 46 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 187.7 ±12.7

5498The Wired Devils

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 13.92Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6101Strange Quarks

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX -4.23Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9226GRemlins

Season APEX 84.1Event APEX 17.82Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 289.2 ±14.1

4390ATA Coregears

Season APEX 72.3Event APEX 17.88Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79

7174Charger Robotics

Season APEX 158.6Event APEX 43.72Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2620Titans

Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 21.82Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5498, 6101, 9226

/ 100 compat

Projected

27.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5498, 6101, 9226

Auto

11.5 44%

Teleop

0.8 3%

Endgame

13.6 53%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4390, 7174, 2620

/ 100 compat

Projected

83.4 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4390, 7174, 2620

Auto

20.9 30%

Teleop

45.4 65%

Endgame

3.7 5%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.08 · Blue 1.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score27.5pts

Blue projected score83.4pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -55.9
Score range: 4–107
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 203 vs event baseline 132.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

187.7Season APEX289.2

11.5Auto20.9

0.8Teleop45.4

13.6Endgame3.7

95Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	35
teleop	33	51
endgame	23	39
foul	5	0
total	78	125

Result

Final score

78 – 125

Prediction correct · off by 46 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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