Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

63.43 – 192.78

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

49 – 305

Prediction correct · off by 63.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 162 ±12.7

8427ProtoBots

Season APEX 54Event APEX 20.03Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5090TorqueNados

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 12.77Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5050Cow Town Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 30.63Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 412.7 ±10.5

217ThunderChickens

Season APEX 104.4Event APEX 70.06Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2620Titans

Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 8.06Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

469Las Guerrillas

Season APEX 250Event APEX 114.66Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8427, 5090, 5050

/ 100 compat

Projected

63.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8427, 5090, 5050

Auto

4.7 8%

Teleop

34.8 61%

Endgame

17.2 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 217, 2620, 469

/ 100 compat

Projected

192.8 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 217, 2620, 469

Auto

65.9 35%

Teleop

102.7 55%

Endgame

19.6 10%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.75 · Blue 2.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score63.4pts

Blue projected score192.8pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -129.3
Score range: 40–216
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 354 vs event baseline 130.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

162Season APEX412.7

4.7Auto65.9

34.8Teleop102.7

17.2Endgame19.6

25Consistency92

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	56
teleop	20	152
endgame	8	67
foul	0	30
total	49	305

Result

Final score

49 – 305

Prediction correct · off by 63.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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