Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

126.55 – 0.47

83%17%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

157 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 35.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 442.7 ±11.7

1528MTR (Monroe Trojan Robotics)

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 4.13Rank 34Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6570Whiteford Bobcats

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 53.3Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5907CC Shambots

A+

Season APEX 326.9Event APEX 69.12Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 174.2 ±13.3

9182Tech Tr1be

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX -12.75Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6618WARHBOTS

Season APEX 64.1Event APEX -1.41Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10606The Foley Flare

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 14.63Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1528, 6570, 5907

/ 100 compat

Projected

126.6 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1528, 6570, 5907

Auto

34.5 27%

Teleop

72.7 57%

Endgame

20.5 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9182, 6618, 10606

/ 100 compat

Projected

0.5 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9182, 6618, 10606

Auto

7.0 0%

Teleop

-14.7 100%

Endgame

3.4 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.23 · Blue 0.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score126.6pts

Blue projected score0.5pts

Red win probability83%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 126.1
Score range: -23–150
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 198 vs event baseline 129.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

442.7Season APEX174.2

34.5Auto7

72.7Teleop-14.7

20.5Endgame3.4

79Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	6
teleop	92	18
endgame	26	17
foul	0	0
total	157	41

Result

Final score

157 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 35.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.