Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

330.71 – 135.42

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

421 – 164

Prediction correct · off by 59.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 581.6 ±11.2

7769The CREW

Season APEX 385.4Event APEX 255.38Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10606The Foley Flare

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 4.08Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3322Eagle Evolution

Season APEX 134.9Event APEX 71.25Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 421.8 ±11.7

6528Terror Bytes

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 53.57Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6861The Tyros Team

Season APEX 126.8Event APEX 53.1Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6029Railbots

Season APEX 47.7Event APEX 28.75Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7769, 10606, 3322

/ 100 compat

Projected

330.7 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7769, 10606, 3322

Auto

71.0 22%

Teleop

193.6 59%

Endgame

63.3 19%

Strengths

· 7769 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 6528, 6861, 6029

/ 100 compat

Projected

135.4 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6528, 6861, 6029

Auto

18.0 14%

Teleop

82.5 66%

Endgame

24.9 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.49 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score330.7pts

Blue projected score135.4pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 195.3
Score range: 112–354
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 585 vs event baseline 125.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

581.6Season APEX421.8

71Auto18

193.6Teleop82.5

63.3Endgame24.9

106Consistency107

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	85	27
teleop	257	40
endgame	74	92
foul	5	5
total	421	164

Result

Final score

421 – 164

Prediction correct · off by 59.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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