Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

133.82 – 98.06

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

184 – 151

Prediction correct · off by 51.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 411.5 ±10.5

247Da Bears

Season APEX 131Event APEX 69.78Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2620Titans

Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 3.85Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

910The Foley Freeze

Season APEX 222.2Event APEX 60.19Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 290.7 ±12.7

6570Whiteford Bobcats

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 43.56Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7174Charger Robotics

Season APEX 158.6Event APEX 29.02Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

815Advanced Power

Season APEX 51.6Event APEX 25.48Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 247, 2620, 910

/ 100 compat

Projected

133.8 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 247, 2620, 910

Auto

29.0 22%

Teleop

76.7 59%

Endgame

23.9 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 6570, 7174, 815

/ 100 compat

Projected

98.1 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6570, 7174, 815

Auto

18.1 20%

Teleop

40.7 45%

Endgame

31.9 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.81 · Blue 1.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score133.8pts

Blue projected score98.1pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 35.8
Score range: 76–156
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 335 vs event baseline 124.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

411.5Season APEX290.7

29Auto18.1

76.7Teleop40.7

23.9Endgame31.9

51Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	38
teleop	119	75
endgame	26	23
foul	5	15
total	184	151

Result

Final score

184 – 151

Prediction correct · off by 51.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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