Qualification · Qualification 35
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
30.74 – 183.08
13%87%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
38 – 134
Prediction correct · off by 28.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 398.8 ±13.2
Season APEX 48.8Event APEX -8.21Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 277.7Event APEX 23.21Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 72.3Event APEX 15.74Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 358.2 ±11.1
Season APEX 232Event APEX 106.83Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 50.62Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 25.63Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9182, 6152, 4390
14
/ 100 compatProjected
30.7 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 9182, 6152, 4390
Auto
6.1 20%
Teleop
28.5 96%
Endgame
-4.8 0%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9572, 2832, 5090
80
/ 100 compatProjected
183.1 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 9572, 2832, 5090
Auto
35.2 19%
Teleop
106.1 58%
Endgame
42.9 23%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.82 · Blue 2.22
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score30.7pts
Blue projected score183.1pts
Red win probability13%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 52%, blue 43%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -152.3
- Score range
- 8–206
- Upset likelihood
- 13%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
398.8Season APEX358.2
6.1Auto35.2
28.5Teleop106.1
-4.8Endgame42.9
91Consistency63
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 14 | 44 |
| teleop | 12 | 66 |
| endgame | 12 | 24 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 38 | 134 |
Result
Final score
38 – 134
Prediction correct · off by 28.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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