Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

273.32169

79%21%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

250214

Prediction correct · off by 34.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 507.8 ±11.7
Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 6.54Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 385.4Event APEX 254.89Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 64.1Event APEX 11.89Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 381.7 ±11.2
Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 39.37Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 104.4Event APEX 72.88Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 222.2Event APEX 56.75Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2620, 7769, 6618
89
/ 100 compat
Projected
273.3 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 2620, 7769, 6618
Auto
64.6 24%
Teleop
149.1 56%
Endgame
51.1 19%
Strengths
  • · 7769 anchors offense
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8124, 217, 910
83
/ 100 compat
Projected
169 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 8124, 217, 910
Auto
50.5 30%
Teleop
75.5 45%
Endgame
42.6 25%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.16 · Blue 1.04
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score273.3pts
Blue projected score169pts
Red win probability79%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 53%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
104.3
Score range
147295
Upset likelihood
21%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 464 vs event baseline 122.3.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

507.8Season APEX381.7
64.6Auto50.5
149.1Teleop75.5
51.1Endgame42.6
139Consistency110

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto9355
teleop14999
endgame855
foul05
total250214

Result

Final score

250214

Prediction correct · off by 34.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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