Qualification · Qualification 32
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
273.32 – 169
79%21%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
250 – 214
Prediction correct · off by 34.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 507.8 ±11.7
Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 6.54Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 385.4Event APEX 254.89Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 64.1Event APEX 11.89Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 381.7 ±11.2
Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 39.37Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 104.4Event APEX 72.88Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 222.2Event APEX 56.75Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2620, 7769, 6618
89
/ 100 compatProjected
273.3 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 2620, 7769, 6618
Auto
64.6 24%
Teleop
149.1 56%
Endgame
51.1 19%
Strengths
- · 7769 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8124, 217, 910
83
/ 100 compatProjected
169 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 8124, 217, 910
Auto
50.5 30%
Teleop
75.5 45%
Endgame
42.6 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.16 · Blue 1.04
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score273.3pts
Blue projected score169pts
Red win probability79%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 53%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 104.3
- Score range
- 147–295
- Upset likelihood
- 21%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
507.8Season APEX381.7
64.6Auto50.5
149.1Teleop75.5
51.1Endgame42.6
139Consistency110
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 93 | 55 |
| teleop | 149 | 99 |
| endgame | 8 | 55 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 250 | 214 |
Result
Final score
250 – 214
Prediction correct · off by 34.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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