Qualification · Qualification 25
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
97.68 – 70.02
59%41%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
56 – 74
Prediction missed · off by 22.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 203.5 ±14.6
Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 70.82Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 55.7Event APEX -3.11Rank 39Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 72.3Event APEX 29.97Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 312.3 ±12.2
Season APEX 64.1Event APEX 17.93Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 40.29Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 167.7Event APEX 11.8Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2832, 8362, 4390
56
/ 100 compatProjected
97.7 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 2832, 8362, 4390
Auto
19.5 21%
Teleop
45.7 50%
Endgame
27.1 29%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 36%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6618, 6570, 2834
42
/ 100 compatProjected
70 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 6618, 6570, 2834
Auto
25.6 36%
Teleop
27.5 39%
Endgame
17.8 25%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 36%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.58 · Blue 1.31
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score97.7pts
Blue projected score70pts
Red win probability59%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 36%, blue 44%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 27.7
- Score range
- 48–120
- Upset likelihood
- 41%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
203.5Season APEX312.3
19.5Auto25.6
45.7Teleop27.5
27.1Endgame17.8
120Consistency29
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 16 | 33 |
| teleop | 32 | 29 |
| endgame | 8 | 12 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 56 | 74 |
Result
Final score
56 – 74
Prediction missed · off by 22.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.