Qualification · Qualification 23
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
60.76 – 113.69
34%66%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
21 – 102
Prediction correct · off by 25.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 142.8 ±13.3
Season APEX 35.3Event APEX -0.37Rank 34Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 33.99Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 27.14Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 329.3 ±11.7
Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 57.69Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 47.7Event APEX 24.67Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 224.3Event APEX 31.33Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1528, 5901, 5090
47
/ 100 compatProjected
60.8 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 1528, 5901, 5090
Auto
20.0 33%
Teleop
26.5 43%
Endgame
14.7 24%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5050, 6029, 3604
55
/ 100 compatProjected
113.7 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 5050, 6029, 3604
Auto
20.8 22%
Teleop
58.2 63%
Endgame
13.7 15%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.15 · Blue 1.8
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score60.8pts
Blue projected score113.7pts
Red win probability34%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 42%, blue 44%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -52.9
- Score range
- 38–137
- Upset likelihood
- 34%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
142.8Season APEX329.3
20Auto20.8
26.5Teleop58.2
14.7Endgame13.7
135Consistency44
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 7 | 11 |
| teleop | 5 | 55 |
| endgame | 9 | 36 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 21 | 102 |
Result
Final score
21 – 102
Prediction correct · off by 25.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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