Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

46.27 – 107.76

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

47 – 76

Prediction correct · off by 16.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 163.9 ±12.7

2620Titans

Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 27.26Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5901BattleCats

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 11.64Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9182Tech Tr1be

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 7.37Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 229.6 ±12.7

6861The Tyros Team

Season APEX 126.8Event APEX 50.55Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5498The Wired Devils

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 26.54Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8427ProtoBots

Season APEX 54Event APEX 30.67Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2620, 5901, 9182

/ 100 compat

Projected

46.3 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2620, 5901, 9182

Auto

8.7 22%

Teleop

18.7 47%

Endgame

12.3 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6861, 5498, 8427

/ 100 compat

Projected

107.8 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6861, 5498, 8427

Auto

16.2 16%

Teleop

49.0 48%

Endgame

36.3 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.15 · Blue 1.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score46.3pts

Blue projected score107.8pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -61.5
Score range: 19–135
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 123 vs event baseline 151.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

163.9Season APEX229.6

8.7Auto16.2

18.7Teleop49

12.3Endgame36.3

0Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	9
teleop	12	34
endgame	16	33
foul	0	0
total	47	76

Result

Final score

47 – 76

Prediction correct · off by 16.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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