Qualification · Qualification 19
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
86.52 – 140.01
34%66%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
111 – 57
Prediction missed · off by 53.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 533.1 ±11.7
Season APEX 47.6Event APEX -11.3Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 158.6Event APEX 45.71Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 326.9Event APEX 52.11Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 239.8 ±12.7
Season APEX 126.8Event APEX 32.17Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 78.32Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 55.7Event APEX 29.52Rank 39Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5263, 7174, 5907
56
/ 100 compatProjected
86.5 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 5263, 7174, 5907
Auto
24.5 31%
Teleop
37.1 48%
Endgame
16.5 21%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6861, 5050, 8362
69
/ 100 compatProjected
140 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 6861, 5050, 8362
Auto
18.8 13%
Teleop
68.3 48%
Endgame
55.7 39%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.35 · Blue 1.73
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score86.5pts
Blue projected score140pts
Red win probability34%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 63%, blue 37%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -53.5
- Score range
- 64–163
- Upset likelihood
- 34%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
533.1Season APEX239.8
24.5Auto18.8
37.1Teleop68.3
16.5Endgame55.7
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 30 | 10 |
| teleop | 61 | 14 |
| endgame | 20 | 3 |
| foul | 0 | 30 |
| total | 111 | 57 |
Result
Final score
111 – 57
Prediction missed · off by 53.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.