Qualification · Qualification 18
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
30.13 – 62.48
40%60%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
71 – 80
Prediction correct · off by 29.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 200.4 ±13.3
Season APEX 64.1Event APEX -1.51Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 88.6Event APEX 10.39Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 47.7Event APEX 21.25Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 353.6 ±11.1
Season APEX 48.8Event APEX -6.06Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 254.1Event APEX 41.7Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 26.84Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6618, 6914, 6029
29
/ 100 compatProjected
30.1 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 6618, 6914, 6029
Auto
9.6 35%
Teleop
18.0 66%
Endgame
-0.3 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5498, 1189, 5090
38
/ 100 compatProjected
62.5 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 5498, 1189, 5090
Auto
14.6 23%
Teleop
48.9 77%
Endgame
0.1 0%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.34 · Blue 1.7
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score30.1pts
Blue projected score62.5pts
Red win probability40%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 50%, blue 46%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -32.3
- Score range
- 6–86
- Upset likelihood
- 40%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
200.4Season APEX353.6
9.6Auto14.6
18Teleop48.9
-0.3Endgame0.1
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 17 | 19 |
| teleop | 29 | 51 |
| endgame | 10 | 10 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 71 | 80 |
Result
Final score
71 – 80
Prediction correct · off by 29.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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