Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

83.99 – 117.16

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

21 – 257

Prediction correct · off by 101.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 135.8 ±13.3

9182Tech Tr1be

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 31Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9148Atlas Robotics

Season APEX 51.7Event APEX 29.86Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1528MTR (Monroe Trojan Robotics)

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 23.13Rank 34Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 649.7 ±9.3

9572CC Shambytes

Season APEX 232Event APEX 79.96Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2834Bionic Black Hawks

Season APEX 167.7Event APEX -15.37Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

469Las Guerrillas

Season APEX 250Event APEX 52.57Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9182, 9148, 1528

/ 100 compat

Projected

84 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9182, 9148, 1528

Auto

20.5 26%

Teleop

37.2 47%

Endgame

21.0 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9572, 2834, 469

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.2 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9572, 2834, 469

Auto

20.0 17%

Teleop

72.6 62%

Endgame

23.9 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.29 · Blue 1.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score84pts

Blue projected score117.2pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -33.2
Score range: 60–141
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 278 vs event baseline 131.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

135.8Season APEX649.7

20.5Auto20

37.2Teleop72.6

21Endgame23.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	2	83
teleop	17	119
endgame	2	55
foul	0	0
total	21	257

Result

Final score

21 – 257

Prediction correct · off by 101.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.