Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

93.54 – 85.36

53%47%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

134 – 56

Prediction correct · off by 34.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 558.2 ±10.7

1189Gearheads

Season APEX 254.1Event APEX 30.1Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5901BattleCats

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 16.48Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6528Terror Bytes

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 46.96Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 193.6 ±12.7

6101Strange Quarks

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 42.2Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2620Titans

Season APEX 58.3Event APEX -13.56Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6570Whiteford Bobcats

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 56.72Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1189, 5901, 6528

/ 100 compat

Projected

93.5 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1189, 5901, 6528

Auto

16.9 18%

Teleop

29.0 31%

Endgame

47.8 51%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6101, 2620, 6570

/ 100 compat

Projected

85.4 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6101, 2620, 6570

Auto

20.0 24%

Teleop

37.7 45%

Endgame

25.5 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.61 · Blue 1.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score93.5pts

Blue projected score85.4pts

Red win probability53%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 8.2
Score range: 63–116
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 190 vs event baseline 123.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

558.2Season APEX193.6

16.9Auto20

29Teleop37.7

47.8Endgame25.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	21
teleop	84	29
endgame	16	6
foul	0	0
total	134	56

Result

Final score

134 – 56

Prediction correct · off by 34.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.