Qualification · Qualification 11

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

121.65 – 136.12

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

93 – 293

Prediction correct · off by 92.8 points

Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 314.1 ±11.7

8427ProtoBots

Season APEX 54Event APEX 21.71Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2834Bionic Black Hawks

Season APEX 167.7Event APEX -4.4Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8179Robo Falcons

Season APEX 92.4Event APEX 104.34Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 592.8 ±11.1

9182Tech Tr1be

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 10.01Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7769The CREW

Season APEX 385.4Event APEX 104.34Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7174Charger Robotics

Season APEX 158.6Event APEX 21.77Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8427, 2834, 8179

/ 100 compat

Projected

121.7 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8427, 2834, 8179

Auto

28.3 23%

Teleop

71.6 59%

Endgame

21.3 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9182, 7769, 7174

/ 100 compat

Projected

136.1 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9182, 7769, 7174

Auto

38.6 30%

Teleop

69.8 55%

Endgame

19.4 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.39 · Blue 1.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score121.7pts

Blue projected score136.1pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -14.5
Score range: 100–158
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 386 vs event baseline 121.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

314.1Season APEX592.8

28.3Auto38.6

71.6Teleop69.8

21.3Endgame19.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	52
teleop	50	157
endgame	10	64
foul	5	20
total	93	293

Result

Final score

93 – 293

Prediction correct · off by 92.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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