Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

392.65 – 193.96

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

373 – 173

Prediction correct · off by 20.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 727.8 ±9.3

8179Robo Falcons

Season APEX 92.4Event APEX 32.83Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

469Las Guerrillas

Season APEX 250Event APEX 112.47Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7769The CREW

Season APEX 385.4Event APEX 247.35Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 453.8 ±10.5

2832The Livonia Warriors

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 42.35Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6528Terror Bytes

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 73.43Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

247Da Bears

Season APEX 131Event APEX 78.18Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8179, 469, 7769

/ 100 compat

Projected

392.7 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 8179, 469, 7769

Auto

92.0 24%

Teleop

221.6 57%

Endgame

75.3 19%

Strengths

· 7769 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2832, 6528, 247

/ 100 compat

Projected

194 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2832, 6528, 247

Auto

30.0 16%

Teleop

102.5 55%

Endgame

52.7 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.5 · Blue 0.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score392.7pts

Blue projected score194pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 198.7
Score range: 167–420
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 546 vs event baseline 149.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

727.8Season APEX453.8

92Auto30

221.6Teleop102.5

75.3Endgame52.7

12Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	87	21
teleop	191	71
endgame	95	41
foul	0	40
total	373	173

Result

Final score

373 – 173

Prediction correct · off by 20.3 pts

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