Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

383.51 – 193.59

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

457 – 201

Prediction correct · off by 40.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 727.8 ±9.3

8179Robo Falcons

Season APEX 92.4Event APEX 29.74Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

469Las Guerrillas

Season APEX 250Event APEX 109.28Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7769The CREW

Season APEX 385.4Event APEX 244.49Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 453.8 ±10.5

6528Terror Bytes

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 72.86Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

247Da Bears

Season APEX 131Event APEX 78.32Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2832The Livonia Warriors

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 42.41Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8179, 469, 7769

/ 100 compat

Projected

383.5 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 8179, 469, 7769

Auto

93.1 24%

Teleop

218.3 57%

Endgame

70.1 18%

Strengths

· 7769 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6528, 247, 2832

/ 100 compat

Projected

193.6 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6528, 247, 2832

Auto

29.5 16%

Teleop

105.5 57%

Endgame

50.6 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.48 · Blue 0.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score383.5pts

Blue projected score193.6pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 189.9
Score range: 167–411
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 658 vs event baseline 147.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

727.8Season APEX453.8

93.1Auto29.5

218.3Teleop105.5

70.1Endgame50.6

18Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	85	34
teleop	244	79
endgame	113	73
foul	15	15
total	457	201

Result

Final score

457 – 201

Prediction correct · off by 40.5 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.