FIM District Jackson at Columbia Event presented by Consumers Energy Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 74

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

135.08 – 114.01

57%43%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

86 – 128

Prediction missed · off by 31.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 274.9 ±12.8

1025Impi Warriors

Season APEX 161.7Event APEX 94.85Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7225Mechatronic Mustangs

Season APEX 55Event APEX 44.88Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9212Infinity

Season APEX 58.2Event APEX -4.65Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 353.5 ±12.2

9183RoboComets

Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 16.56Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11387G.L.E.A.M. - Grass Lake Engineering and Mechanics

Season APEX 166.9Event APEX 19.79Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7197Mountie Megabots

Season APEX 137.4Event APEX 77.66Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1025, 7225, 9212

/ 100 compat

Projected

135.1 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 1025, 7225, 9212

Auto

28.7 20%

Teleop

70.5 50%

Endgame

41.6 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9183, 11387, 7197

/ 100 compat

Projected

114 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9183, 11387, 7197

Auto

21.8 20%

Teleop

64.2 59%

Endgame

23.0 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.68 · Blue 1.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score135.1pts

Blue projected score114pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 21.1
Score range: 85–164
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 214 vs event baseline 160.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

274.9Season APEX353.5

28.7Auto21.8

70.5Teleop64.2

41.6Endgame23

62Consistency74

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	26
teleop	29	54
endgame	14	38
foul	0	10
total	86	128

Result

Final score

86 – 128

Prediction missed · off by 31.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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