FIM District Jackson at Columbia Event presented by Consumers Energy Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 71

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

172.66 – 93.54

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

246 – 98

Prediction correct · off by 38.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 316.2 ±11.7

5144LISD TECHnicians

Season APEX 156.3Event APEX 104.96Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11462Morenci Miswired

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 19.93Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4381Twisted Devils

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 47.77Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 182.1 ±13.3

8300Titan Robotics

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 37.58Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5641Byron Robotics

Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 23.89Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5205FullMetal-Jackets

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 32.07Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5144, 11462, 4381

/ 100 compat

Projected

172.7 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5144, 11462, 4381

Auto

36.4 21%

Teleop

84.1 49%

Endgame

49.5 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8300, 5641, 5205

/ 100 compat

Projected

93.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 8300, 5641, 5205

Auto

14.8 15%

Teleop

44.7 46%

Endgame

37.2 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.17 · Blue 1.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score172.7pts

Blue projected score93.5pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 68%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 79.1
Score range: 65–202
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 344 vs event baseline 159.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

316.2Season APEX182.1

36.4Auto14.8

84.1Teleop44.7

49.5Endgame37.2

85Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	19
teleop	185	38
endgame	32	41
foul	0	0
total	246	98

Result

Final score

246 – 98

Prediction correct · off by 38.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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