Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 69

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

291.94380.87

25%75%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

225353

Prediction correct · off by 47.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 384.3 ±11
Season APEX 182.4Event APEX 137.68Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 75.2Event APEX 72.15Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 126.7Event APEX 82.11Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 513.1 ±10.5
Season APEX 266.4Event APEX 162.33Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 144.5Event APEX 131.42Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 87.12Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2611, 7501, 4422
85
/ 100 compat
Projected
291.9 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 2611, 7501, 4422
Auto
50.9 18%
Teleop
153.9 54%
Endgame
78.1 28%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 70%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3414, 3668, 4003
81
/ 100 compat
Projected
380.9 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 3414, 3668, 4003
Auto
61.7 17%
Teleop
224.4 62%
Endgame
78.1 21%
Strengths
  • · 3414 anchors offense
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 70%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.24 · Blue 2.21
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score291.9pts
Blue projected score380.9pts
Red win probability25%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 70%, blue 65%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-88.9
Score range
263410
Upset likelihood
25%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 578 vs event baseline 159.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

384.3Season APEX513.1
50.9Auto61.7
153.9Teleop224.4
78.1Endgame78.1
62Consistency59

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto3955
teleop131231
endgame5567
foul00
total225353

Result

Final score

225353

Prediction correct · off by 47.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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