FIM District Jackson at Columbia Event presented by Consumers Energy Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

253.04 – 80.76

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

173 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 47.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 388.2 ±11.7

5144LISD TECHnicians

Season APEX 156.3Event APEX 111.48Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1025Impi Warriors

Season APEX 161.7Event APEX 100.28Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4216Blue Ops Robotics

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 41.28Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 171.9 ±12.7

5239The Royal Stags

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 30.26Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5530Greenhills Lawnmowers

Season APEX 50.2Event APEX 9.67Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8300Titan Robotics

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 40.83Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5144, 1025, 4216

/ 100 compat

Projected

253 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5144, 1025, 4216

Auto

46.8 19%

Teleop

122.0 48%

Endgame

82.8 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5239, 5530, 8300

/ 100 compat

Projected

80.8 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5239, 5530, 8300

Auto

16.9 21%

Teleop

48.6 61%

Endgame

14.2 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.5 · Blue 0.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score253pts

Blue projected score80.8pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 172.3
Score range: 52–282
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 239 vs event baseline 161.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

388.2Season APEX171.9

46.8Auto16.9

122Teleop48.6

82.8Endgame14.2

94Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	29
teleop	82	24
endgame	31	13
foul	0	0
total	173	66

Result

Final score

173 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 47.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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