FIM District Jackson at Columbia Event presented by Consumers Energy Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

198.01 – 241.65

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

171 – 229

Prediction correct · off by 19.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 289.8 ±12.2

7656MC Hammers

Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 88.1Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4422Twisted Angels

Season APEX 126.7Event APEX 84.87Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5641Byron Robotics

Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 25.04Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 397.1 ±11.1

3414Hackbots

Season APEX 266.4Event APEX 162.26Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7501Golden Gears

Season APEX 75.2Event APEX 75.04Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3773Arrowhead Robotics

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 4.35Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7656, 4422, 5641

/ 100 compat

Projected

198 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 7656, 4422, 5641

Auto

19.9 10%

Teleop

117.6 61%

Endgame

55.7 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3414, 7501, 3773

/ 100 compat

Projected

241.7 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3414, 7501, 3773

Auto

48.8 20%

Teleop

133.4 56%

Endgame

57.9 24%

Strengths

· 3414 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.39 · Blue 1.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score198pts

Blue projected score241.7pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -43.6
Score range: 169–271
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 400 vs event baseline 159.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

289.8Season APEX397.1

19.9Auto48.8

117.6Teleop133.4

55.7Endgame57.9

56Consistency42

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	35
teleop	84	130
endgame	41	64
foul	5	0
total	171	229

Result

Final score

171 – 229

Prediction correct · off by 19.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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