FIM District Jackson at Columbia Event presented by Consumers Energy Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

55.29 – 116.6

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

73 – 84

Prediction correct · off by 25.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 289.2 ±13.3

11387G.L.E.A.M. - Grass Lake Engineering and Mechanics

Season APEX 166.9Event APEX 16.83Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11460Olivet Eaglebots

Season APEX 62.9Event APEX 24.77Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11462Morenci Miswired

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 13.69Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 194 ±13.3

4568Robot Commander

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX -3.84Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6556Spartan Robotics 6556

Season APEX 35Event APEX 30.54Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4003TriSonics

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 89.9Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11387, 11460, 11462

/ 100 compat

Projected

55.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 11387, 11460, 11462

Auto

24.0 45%

Teleop

12.5 24%

Endgame

16.6 31%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4568, 6556, 4003

/ 100 compat

Projected

116.6 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4568, 6556, 4003

Auto

20.2 18%

Teleop

66.3 60%

Endgame

23.6 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.25 · Blue 1.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score55.3pts

Blue projected score116.6pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -61.3
Score range: 26–146
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 157 vs event baseline 160.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

289.2Season APEX194

24Auto20.2

12.5Teleop66.3

16.6Endgame23.6

70Consistency33

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	13
teleop	24	46
endgame	1	25
foul	20	0
total	73	84

Result

Final score

73 – 84

Prediction correct · off by 25.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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