FIM District Jackson at Columbia Event presented by Consumers Energy Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

239.71 – 163.37

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

260 – 206

Prediction correct · off by 31.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 402.7 ±12.4

4216Blue Ops Robotics

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 38.07Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9594Ashley Bears

Season APEX 66.1Event APEX 41.62Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3414Hackbots

Season APEX 266.4Event APEX 160.02Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 289.7 ±12.2

7501Golden Gears

Season APEX 75.2Event APEX 70.86Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9212Infinity

Season APEX 58.2Event APEX -13.15Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5144LISD TECHnicians

Season APEX 156.3Event APEX 105.66Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4216, 9594, 3414

/ 100 compat

Projected

239.7 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4216, 9594, 3414

Auto

49.4 21%

Teleop

118.1 51%

Endgame

66.3 28%

Strengths

· 3414 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7501, 9212, 5144

/ 100 compat

Projected

163.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7501, 9212, 5144

Auto

33.3 21%

Teleop

74.7 48%

Endgame

47.7 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.14 · Blue 1.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score239.7pts

Blue projected score163.4pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 76.3
Score range: 134–269
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 466 vs event baseline 160.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

402.7Season APEX289.7

49.4Auto33.3

118.1Teleop74.7

66.3Endgame47.7

42Consistency93

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	34
teleop	170	122
endgame	30	50
foul	0	0
total	260	206

Result

Final score

260 – 206

Prediction correct · off by 31.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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