FIM District Jackson at Columbia Event presented by Consumers Energy Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

204.43 – 131.97

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

191 – 143

Prediction correct · off by 12.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 273.7 ±11.7

4422Twisted Angels

Season APEX 126.7Event APEX 87.54Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7225Mechatronic Mustangs

Season APEX 55Event APEX 44.63Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11386Climax-Scotts PantherBots

Season APEX 92Event APEX 72.26Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 268.5 ±12.8

1025Impi Warriors

Season APEX 161.7Event APEX 98.21Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7221Viking Robotics

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 12.26Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11444Cougar Claw Robotics

Season APEX 48.4Event APEX 21.5Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4422, 7225, 11386

/ 100 compat

Projected

204.4 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 4422, 7225, 11386

Auto

34.2 17%

Teleop

114.6 58%

Endgame

47.9 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1025, 7221, 11444

/ 100 compat

Projected

132 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1025, 7221, 11444

Auto

27.6 23%

Teleop

42.5 35%

Endgame

51.2 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.04 · Blue 1.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score204.4pts

Blue projected score132pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 72.5
Score range: 103–233
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-17
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 334 vs event baseline 160.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

273.7Season APEX268.5

34.2Auto27.6

114.6Teleop42.5

47.9Endgame51.2

61Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	19
teleop	116	58
endgame	30	66
foul	0	0
total	191	143

Result

Final score

191 – 143

Prediction correct · off by 12.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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