FIM District Jackson at Columbia Event presented by Consumers Energy Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

133.88 – 290.92

12%88%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

122 – 425

Prediction correct · off by 73 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 198 ±13.3

4216Blue Ops Robotics

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 41.98Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4003TriSonics

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 91.86Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9753Team Success

Season APEX 25.6Event APEX 0.04Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 511.5 ±11.2

5641Byron Robotics

Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 15.27Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2611Jacktown Vectors

Season APEX 182.4Event APEX 126.92Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3414Hackbots

Season APEX 266.4Event APEX 148.73Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4216, 4003, 9753

/ 100 compat

Projected

133.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4216, 4003, 9753

Auto

23.8 20%

Teleop

64.1 53%

Endgame

33.4 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5641, 2611, 3414

/ 100 compat

Projected

290.9 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5641, 2611, 3414

Auto

54.6 18%

Teleop

168.4 57%

Endgame

72.2 24%

Strengths

· 3414 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.86 · Blue 2.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score133.9pts

Blue projected score290.9pts

Red win probability12%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -157
Score range: 106–319
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 547 vs event baseline 157.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

198Season APEX511.5

23.8Auto54.6

64.1Teleop168.4

33.4Endgame72.2

71Consistency66

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	80
teleop	68	209
endgame	33	131
foul	0	5
total	122	425

Result

Final score

122 – 425

Prediction correct · off by 73 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.