FIM District Jackson at Columbia Event presented by Consumers Energy Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

155.44 – 53.72

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

208 – 68

Prediction correct · off by 33.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 387 ±11.6

11387G.L.E.A.M. - Grass Lake Engineering and Mechanics

Season APEX 166.9Event APEX 12.14Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7656MC Hammers

Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 79.61Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5676The H.E.R.O.E.S

Season APEX 119.7Event APEX 63.69Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 142.6 ±13.9

6556Spartan Robotics 6556

Season APEX 35Event APEX 29.22Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9183RoboComets

Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 12.58Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7221Viking Robotics

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 11.92Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11387, 7656, 5676

/ 100 compat

Projected

155.4 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 11387, 7656, 5676

Auto

26.3 16%

Teleop

78.3 49%

Endgame

55.2 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6556, 9183, 7221

/ 100 compat

Projected

53.7 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6556, 9183, 7221

Auto

13.6 35%

Teleop

11.0 28%

Endgame

14.5 37%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.23 · Blue 1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score155.4pts

Blue projected score53.7pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 101.7
Score range: 26–183
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-17
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 276 vs event baseline 157.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

387Season APEX142.6

26.3Auto13.6

78.3Teleop11

55.2Endgame14.5

82Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	20
teleop	134	26
endgame	30	22
foul	0	0
total	208	68

Result

Final score

208 – 68

Prediction correct · off by 33.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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