FIM District Jackson at Columbia Event presented by Consumers Energy Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

262.08 – 172.63

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

254 – 166

Prediction correct · off by 7.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 359.9 ±11.7

5144LISD TECHnicians

Season APEX 156.3Event APEX 104.96Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3668TroBots

Season APEX 144.5Event APEX 126.39Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5205FullMetal-Jackets

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 30.73Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 258.1 ±12.1

3773Arrowhead Robotics

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 15.79Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4003TriSonics

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 78.9Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7656MC Hammers

Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 77.94Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5144, 3668, 5205

/ 100 compat

Projected

262.1 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5144, 3668, 5205

Auto

43.4 17%

Teleop

146.2 57%

Endgame

66.2 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3773, 4003, 7656

/ 100 compat

Projected

172.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3773, 4003, 7656

Auto

23.7 14%

Teleop

97.2 58%

Endgame

47.6 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.17 · Blue 1.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score262.1pts

Blue projected score172.6pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 89.4
Score range: 142–293
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 420 vs event baseline 170.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

359.9Season APEX258.1

43.4Auto23.7

146.2Teleop97.2

66.2Endgame47.6

110Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	24
teleop	131	91
endgame	85	51
foul	0	0
total	254	166

Result

Final score

254 – 166

Prediction correct · off by 7.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.