FIM District Jackson at Columbia Event presented by Consumers Energy Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

194.7 – 106.58

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

267 – 113

Prediction correct · off by 39.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 295.1 ±11.6

7656MC Hammers

Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 73.65Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5530Greenhills Lawnmowers

Season APEX 50.2Event APEX -0.35Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3668TroBots

Season APEX 144.5Event APEX 121.4Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 150.3 ±13.3

7225Mechatronic Mustangs

Season APEX 55Event APEX 50.41Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8300Titan Robotics

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 30.49Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6556Spartan Robotics 6556

Season APEX 35Event APEX 25.68Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7656, 5530, 3668

/ 100 compat

Projected

194.7 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7656, 5530, 3668

Auto

35.4 18%

Teleop

109.5 57%

Endgame

47.1 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7225, 8300, 6556

/ 100 compat

Projected

106.6 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7225, 8300, 6556

Auto

27.4 26%

Teleop

53.8 50%

Endgame

25.8 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.13 · Blue 0.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score194.7pts

Blue projected score106.6pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 88.1
Score range: 79–223
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 380 vs event baseline 154.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

295.1Season APEX150.3

35.4Auto27.4

109.5Teleop53.8

47.1Endgame25.8

57Consistency51

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	13
teleop	177	63
endgame	49	37
foul	15	0
total	267	113

Result

Final score

267 – 113

Prediction correct · off by 39.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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