FIM District Jackson at Columbia Event presented by Consumers Energy Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

130.16 – 144.44

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

115 – 229

Prediction correct · off by 49.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 301.2 ±12.7

11387G.L.E.A.M. - Grass Lake Engineering and Mechanics

Season APEX 166.9Event APEX 14.69Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7501Golden Gears

Season APEX 75.2Event APEX 82.56Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5205FullMetal-Jackets

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 32.91Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 299.3 ±11.7

5239The Royal Stags

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 32.56Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4381Twisted Devils

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 43.9Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7197Mountie Megabots

Season APEX 137.4Event APEX 67.98Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11387, 7501, 5205

/ 100 compat

Projected

130.2 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 11387, 7501, 5205

Auto

22.7 18%

Teleop

68.3 55%

Endgame

33.5 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5239, 4381, 7197

/ 100 compat

Projected

144.4 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5239, 4381, 7197

Auto

26.6 18%

Teleop

84.8 56%

Endgame

40.2 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.54 · Blue 1.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score130.2pts

Blue projected score144.4pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -14.3
Score range: 102–172
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 344 vs event baseline 153.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

301.2Season APEX299.3

22.7Auto26.6

68.3Teleop84.8

33.5Endgame40.2

39Consistency29

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	34
teleop	42	130
endgame	41	65
foul	0	0
total	115	229

Result

Final score

115 – 229

Prediction correct · off by 49.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.